Mariya O. Berestevich
EMERCOM of Russia, Moscow, Russia
The article provides a sequence of ranking and prioritization with examples of methods applicable for assessing territorial risks as part of targeted planning of measures aimed at protecting the population and territories.
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Yaroslav Vladimirovich Grebnev1,2, Dinara Ildarovna Shagidulina1, Alexander Konstantovich Moskalev1, Petr Alekseevich Osaveluk3, Alexander Viktorovich Antonov2,3
1Siberian Federal University, Krasnoyarsk, Russia
2Russian Emergencies Ministry for the Krasnoyarsk Territory, Krasnoyarsk, Russia
3Siberian Fire and Rescue Academy EMERCOM of Russia, Zheleznogorsk, Russia
The territory of the Arctic every year is exposed to an increasing impact on the ecosystem due to the intensification of resource development. Active development of resources leads to an increase in the number of industrial facilities and stationary fuel storage facilities, many of which have already exhausted their design service life and the service life of these technosphere facilities is being extended. As the practice of accidents for 2020 at fuel storage facilities in the Arctic shows, monitoring of the state of these facilities is poorly organized due to the considerable remoteness and difficult weather conditions, as evidenced by numerous violations and emerging emergencies. It is necessary at a faster pace to create integrated security systems based on modern methods of monitoring and predicting risks in order to prevent accidents and prevent emergencies in the Arctic zone. In this paper, based on an analysis of emergency situations that arose in 2020 in the Arctic zone of the Krasnoyarsk Territory, the development of events was simulated during an emergency spill of oil products at a tank farm. An assessment was made of the area of oil spills on land and in a reservoir. To simulate an emergency, the Toxy + risk software product was used, and the neural network forecasting technique using the Scikit-Learn library in the Python programming language.
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Stanislav Yu. Butuzov1, Denis A. Berezhnoy1, Galina M. Boiko2
1Academy of the State Fire Service of the Ministry of Emergency Situations of Russia, Moscow, Russia
2Siberian Fire and Rescue Academy EMERCOM of Russia, Zheleznogorsk, Russia
The paper considers the author’s methods of calculating the social effect that occurs when notifying the population about the threat of emergency situations (emergencies) caused by dangerous weather conditions to ensure the necessary level of security, including on the territory of the Republic of Crimea. To calculate the social effect when notifying the population about the threat of an emergency caused by dangerous weather conditions, a regression analysis method was used. The article proposes criteria that affect the social effect when notifying the population about the threat of an emergency. The weight values of the criteria are determined by the hierarchy analysis method. It is proposed to determine the indicators of the criteria by conducting a social experiment. A mathematical model is presented for assessing the effectiveness of the social effect when notifying the population about the threat of an emergency and the occurrence of emergencies caused by dangerous and unfavorable events based on regression analysis.
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Nikolai S. Shimon1,2, Andrei V. Kalach2,3, Denis I. Sotnikov2, Olga N. Orlova4, Nikolai V. Martinovich3
1Civil defense, public protection and fire safety of the Voronezh region, Voronezh, Russia
2Voronezh State Technical University, Voronezh, Russia
3Siberian Fire and Rescue Academy of the Ministry of Emergency Situations of Russia, Zheleznogorsk, Russia
4SFA of EMERCOM of Russia, Moscow, Russia
Data on the experience of involving public associations and other non-profit organizations in activities in the field of protection of the population and territories from emergencies in the Voronezh region are presented. Special attention is paid to the issue of the effectiveness of existing public organizations (associations) whose statutory activities include emergency rescue operations (search and rescue).
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Vitaly P. Maly, Sergey.O. Kurtov, Vyacheslav Yu. Yarovoy
Siberian Fire and Rescue Academy EMERCOM of Russia, Zheleznogorsk, Russia
The article describes the results of research related to the formulation and search for ways to solve the problem of eliminating the significant uncertainty of the hydraulic characteristics of new fire hoses entering the units of the Ministry of Emergency Situations. The order of scatteringof reference data of hydraulic parameters of fire hoses given in official sources is estimated. It is shown that the lack of accurate data does not allow to effectively use the calculation models of pump-hose systems developed at the Academy. To get out of the situation, it is proposed to create an “Experimental research installation for measuring the thermohydraulic characteristics of the elements of the water supply path to the fire site”.
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Gleb Yu. Yurkin1,2, Ivan Yu.Sergeev1, Roman G. Shubkin1
1Siberian Fire and Rescue Academy EMERCOM of Russia, Zheleznogorsk, Russia
2Siberian Federal University, Krasnoyarsk, Russia
The article describes a designed online calculator for subject of protection ranking of risk category. A new method of ranking of objects is analyzed and the choice of technology is justified. The calculation of the risk category is demonstrated step by step.
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Dmitry V. Kargashilov1,2, Irina A. Ivanova1, Elena A. Sushko1, Anastasiya P. Parshina1
1Voronezh State Technical University, Voronezh, Russia
2Voronezh institute of Advanced Training of Employees of the EMERCOM of Russia, Voronezh, Russia
The article proposes and justifies a way to reduce the fire hazard of technological processes, as well as production in general, by selecting fire detectors of the ATP, taking into account the fire hazard indicators of substances and materials used in production. An example of the selection of the type of fire detectors based on the characteristics of combustible loads, taking into account the fire factors that directly affect the time of their operation from the start of the fire. To solve the problem in the example, certain analytical equations of the integral model of the development of fire hazards in the room were selected.
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Andrey N. Minkin1,2, Elena V. Musiyachenko1, Dmitriy A. Edimichev1, Alina V. Feoktistova1
1Siberian Federal University, Krasnoyarsk, Russia
2Siberian Fire and Rescue Academy EMERCOM of Russia, Zheleznogorsk, Russia
If the state of explosion safety of technological processes of drying plants is violated, there is a high probability of an explosion, causing significant destruction and material damage. To solve this problem, it is proposed to use three principles: exclusion of the possibility of the formation of suspension combustion; prevention of the occurrence of heat sources capable of initiating combustion; the use of passive or active explosion proofing systems capable of localizing an explosion within the apparatus.
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Denis S. Korolev1, Sergei A. Konchakov2, Aleksei S. Smirnov3, Nikolai V. Martinovich4
1Voronezh state technical university (high school), Voronezh, Russia
2Academy of the State Fire Service of EMERCOM of Russia, Moscow, Russia
3Saint-Petersburg university of State fire service of EMERCOM of Russia, Saint-Petersburg, Russia
4Siberian Fire and Rescue Academy Emercom of Russia, Zheleznogorsk, Russia
The article considers one of the most important directions of the development of the country’s oil and gas industry, namely the transition from a raw material cluster to the processing of oxygen-containing hydrocarbons. It is noted that technological processes: pyrolysis, dehydrogenation, etc. at installations of category I and II are constantly being improved, thereby increasing their efficiency and at the same time the level of explosion hazard. The authors of the article analyzed the fire hazard, identified the most characteristic ignition sources, the combustible medium and proposed a predictive concept that allows us to establish the probability of uncontrolled combustion during pyrolysis and smoldering of polymers, synthetic materials. Gorenjesus, the authors of the article, conducted a fire hazard analysis, identified the most characteristic ignition sources, the combustible medium and proposed a predictive concept that allows us to establish the probability of uncontrolled combustion during pyrolysis and smoldering of polymers, synthetic materials. This approach is implemented using an intelligent algorithm for processing consolidated information from an integrated system of gas analyzers and automatic fire alarm.
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Mihail I. Arkhipov1, Nikolai E. Parashchenko2, Sergei A.Vasilev3
1Voronezh State Technical Universityб, Voronezh, Russia
2Main Directorate of the Ministry of Emergency Situations of Russia in the Voronezh Region, Voronezh, Russia
3Siberian Fire and Rescue Academy EMERCOM of Russia, Zheleznogorsk, Russia
Voronezh More developed units of the State Fire Service and voluntary fire protection on the territory of the Voronezh Territorial Fire and Rescue garrison.
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