Number № 27

Vyacheslav G. Burlov²,
Yuriy D. Kuznetsov¹,
Sergei U. Kapitsyn^1
1Peter the Great St. Petersburg Polytechnic University, Saint-Petersburg, Russia,
²Russian State Hydrometeorological University, Saint-Petersburg, Russia

In order to increase main gas pipelines fire safety level consideration of safety ensuring approach developed on the basis of synthesis is executed. The inverse problem of safety management based on natural-scientific approach to the management synthesis is solved during the main gas pipeline safety level analysis in conditions of limited resources. Modeling threat occurrence and safety ensuring processes is executed using the Kolmogorov equations system and Markov processes. As a result of modeling, quantitative values of safety criterions were determined in systems with applied automated monitoring and without it. Calculations substantiate the necessity to use automated monitoring systems for enhancement of safety criterion value.

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Andranik K. Topkaryan¹,
Roman L. Belousov²,
Nikita A. Drojin³,
Afanasy I. Arashtayev^4
1The Civil Defence Academy of EMERCOM of Russia, Khimki, Russia,
²The National Crisis Management Center of the Emergencies Ministry, Moscow, Russia,
³The Civil Defence Academy of EMERCOM of Russia, Khimki, Russia,
⁴The Main Directorate of the Emergencies Ministry, Moscow, Russia

This article proposes an approach to solving the problem of rational distribution of forces and means of the unified state system for the prevention and liquidation of emergency situations (hereinafter referred to as RSChS) for the prevention of wildfires according to space monitoring data. The approach is based on the theory of schedules, in particular, the method of sequential analysis and elimination of unpromising options. The initial data is the number of operational groups designed to confirm a natural fire according to the detection of thermal points, the number of all detected thermal points, the time the operational group checks each thermal point. By a certain analysis and screening out of unpromising sequences of work, an acceptable set of sequences is determined. From a valid set of sequences, the most optimal one is selected. The example demonstrates the algorithm for solving the problem.

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Аleksandr V. Kholoptsev^1,2,
Roman G. Shubkin²,
Ivan U. Sergeev¹,
Aleksey N. Baturo¹,
Aleksandr V. Antonov^1
1Siberian Fire and Rescue Academy EMERCOM of Russia, Zheleznogorsk, Russia,
²State Oceanographic Institute named after N.N. Zubov, Sevastopol, Russia

The current trends of changes in average monthly air temperatures in the Arctic and Forest land-scape zone of Eastern Siberia, as well as the relationships of these processes with variations in the total area of wormwood, which are formed in the summer months in the ice cover of the seas of Laptev and East Siberia. It is shown that in many territories of the Arctic zone of Eastern Siberia, significant changes in average monthly temperatures of summer months in 2010-2020. As a result, the risks of many natural hazards could not be increased. Therefore, the probable cause of their ac-tual increase is anthropogenic.

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Sergei P. Amelchugov; Aleksei N. Baturo; Aleksei V. Ukolov
Siberian Fire and Rescue Academy EMERCOM of Russia, Zheleznogorsk, Russia

Quite a large number of voluntary certification systems have been created in the Russian Federation. Creation of a system of voluntary certification of the Siberian Federal University “Arctic Quality Mark”, the main criterion for the creation of which is its accreditation abroad, because the construction of modern mining, transport and processing complexes is carried out, as a rule, within the framework of international projects, with the involvement of foreign technical specialists who are focused on the use of technological equipment that has certificates according to international standards, the same applies to the supply of products for export.

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Denis V. Zobkov
EMERCOM of Russia, Moscow, Russia

The provisions on the development of technologies for automating decision-making procedures for assigning objects of supervision located in the possession and (or) use (operation) of organizations and citizens, to a certain category of risk in the implementation of federal state fire supervision. A description is given of the structure of the automated decision support system and its basic algorithms, which are used to develop software modules for carrying out computational procedures for assigning objects of supervision to a certain risk category.

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