Vyacheslav G. Burlov2,
Yuriy D. Kuznetsov1,
Sergei U. Kapitsyn1
1Peter the Great St. Petersburg Polytechnic University, Saint-Petersburg, Russia,
2Russian State Hydrometeorological University, Saint-Petersburg, Russia
In order to increase main gas pipelines fire safety level consideration of safety ensuring approach developed on the basis of synthesis is executed. The inverse problem of safety management based on natural-scientific approach to the management synthesis is solved during the main gas pipeline safety level analysis in conditions of limited resources. Modeling threat occurrence and safety ensuring processes is executed using the Kolmogorov equations system and Markov processes. As a result of modeling, quantitative values of safety criterions were determined in systems with applied automated monitoring and without it. Calculations substantiate the necessity to use automated monitoring systems for enhancement of safety criterion value.
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