№ 15

N.S. Shimon¹; A.V. Kalach², Holder of an Advanced Doctorate in Chemical Sciences, Full professor; А.А. Мельник³, канд. тех. наук, доцент; Е.В. Калач², канд. техн. наук, доцент

¹ State Institution of the Voronezh Region «Civil Defense, Population Protection and Fire Safety of the Voronezh Region»
² Voronezh State Technical University
³ Siberian Fire and Rescue Academy of Ministry of Emergencies of Russia

The results of the activity of voluntary fire guard units in the territory of the Voronezh region for the period 2011 – 2018 are presented. Data on peculiarities of regulatory regulation of voluntary fire guard activity are presented. Emphasis is placed on performance, existing benefits and social guarantees for employees of voluntary fire protection units.

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S. N. Masaev¹, Ph.D. of Engineering Sciences; A.N. Minkin^1,2, Ph.D. of Engineering Sciences, assistant professor; D.A. Edimichev¹, Ph.D. of Engineering Sciences

¹ FSAEI HE Siberian Federal University, Oil and gas institute, department on fire safety
²FSBEE HE Siberian Fire and Rescue Academy EMERCOM of Russia

The article is devoted to the definition of rational decisions on the choice of emergency rescue equipment for carrying out rescue and other urgent work on low-volume and dispersed objects using the methods of mathematical programming. The criteria for the efficiency of RT (rescue technique) operation during the mechanization of ER (Emergency Restoration) related to the implementation of measures to minimize the time and material costs of their implementation are determined. The scientific and practical tasks aimed at increasing the efficiency of mechanization during the ER are discussed. Various technologies for conducting ER using mechanization methods are proposed depending on the specific reduced costs. We consider numerical methods for solving multidimensional extremal problems: a method of enumerating variants, a linear programming method, a nonlinear programming method, a stochastic programming method. Formed indicators of the effectiveness of rescue equipment. A systematic approach, formed from two stages of the search domain principle, is given. A model of the duration of the time of the technological processes of emergency rescue equipment is displayed. For the payoff matrix, the behavior of participant A is determined by the maximin function, and for participant B, the minimax principle. It is determined that four typical situations of using rescue equipment in different climatic conditions with different characteristics of the loading material and the loading range are most likely.

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V.V. Kharin; E.V. Bobrinev, Ph.D. of Biological Sciences, Senior Research Officer; E.Yu. Udavtsova, Ph.D. of Engineering Sciences; A.A. Kondashov, Ph.D. of Physico-mathematical Sciences

FGBU VNIIPO EMERCOM of Russia

The results of studies of social risks in the field of fire safety are presented. The risk of death in fires depending on the demographic characteristics of the population (age, sex) for urban and rural areas, taking into account the conditions that contributed to the death of people in fires in the subjects of the Russian Federation for the period from 2012 to 2018, was studied. In order to identify the structural relationships between the risk of death in fires for different population groups, taking into account the characteristics of individual subjects of the Russian Federation and the allocation of a small number of latent factors, the change of which explains the change in the observed indicators, a factor analysis was carried out using 48 sociological indicators for 85 subjects of the Russian Federation. Factor analysis revealed eight significant factors that explain 75.3% of the total variance of the statistical data set. The qualitative interpretation of each of the factors on the greatest contribution of components is given. Projections of factors in two-and three-dimensional spaces are studied. In the coordinate systems of the factors obtained, the places of each subject of the Russian Federation are determined. It is concluded that the factor analysis of the statistical array of sociological data gives an objective assessment of the levels of fire risk in the subjects of the Russian Federation and can be used for risk management.

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I.A. Kaibichev, Holder of an Advanced Doctorate in Physico-mathematical Sciences; K.I. Kalimullina

The Ural Institute of State Firefighting Service of Ministry of Russian Federation for Civil Defense

The dispersion analysis of deaths in fires in the regions of the Southern Federal district was performed according to the data of 2001-2016. With a probability of 0.95, it is proved that the average number of deaths in fires for the regions of the Southern Federal district is different. The difference is due to the geographical location. The average number of deaths in fires in the South Federal district also varies from year to year. The difference is due to the time factor. The established facts can be useful in mathematical modeling of the situation with the death of people in fires in the regions of the South Federal district.

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